钱榕, 曾俊铭, 徐雪飞. 意见领袖在舆情传播动力学中影响的研究[J]. 北京电子科技学院学报, 2023, 31(4): 42-52.
    引用本文: 钱榕, 曾俊铭, 徐雪飞. 意见领袖在舆情传播动力学中影响的研究[J]. 北京电子科技学院学报, 2023, 31(4): 42-52.
    QIAN Rong, ZENG Junming, XU Xuefei. Research on the influence of opinion leaders on the dynamics of public opinion communication[J]. Journal of Beijing Electronic Science and Technology Institute, 2023, 31(4): 42-52.
    Citation: QIAN Rong, ZENG Junming, XU Xuefei. Research on the influence of opinion leaders on the dynamics of public opinion communication[J]. Journal of Beijing Electronic Science and Technology Institute, 2023, 31(4): 42-52.

    意见领袖在舆情传播动力学中影响的研究

    Research on the influence of opinion leaders on the dynamics of public opinion communication

    • 摘要: 针对现有舆情传播模型中传播者群体单一,且缺乏对不同态度意见领袖的影响力的研究,提出了具有积极正面、消极负面、普通中立三种不同态度传播人群的S3IR舆情传播模型。基于该模型建立平均场方程,对其进行传播动力学分析;利用Facebook与LastFM Asia真实数据集建立真实社交网络,采用蒙特卡洛算法仿真舆情传播过程,在两个真实社交网络中对S3IR模型进行了可行性验证;对S3IR模型与SIR模型进行了对比研究;通过控制意见领袖数量以及对比舆情在集聚程度不同的网络中的传播过程,探讨了意见领袖数量以及网络集聚程度对舆情传播的影响;控制受意见领袖影响的积极正面传播者与消极负面传播者的感染率,探讨了意见领袖感染力对舆情传播的影响。实验表明,S3IR模型可行且有效;积极正面或消极负面意见领袖数量越多,感染力越强,社交网络集聚程度越大,则越容易带动同向传播者增多,加快舆情传播。

       

      Abstract: Aiming at the single group of communicators in the existing opinion dissemination model and the lack of research on the influence of opinion leaders with different attitudes,the S3IR opinion dissemination model with three different attitudes of positive,negative and general neutral communicators is proposed.Based on this model,mean field equations are established and the propagation dynamics are analyzed.Real social networks are established using real datasets from Face-book and LastFM Asia,and the Monte Carlo algorithm is used to simulate the opinion propagation process,and the feasibility of S3IR model is verified in two real social networks,a comparative study between the S3IR model and the SIR model is carried out.By controlling the number of opinion leaders and comparing the propagation process of public opinion in networks with different degrees of agglomeration,the effects of the number of opinion leaders and the degree of network agglomeration on the propagation of public opinion are ex-plored.By controlling the infection rate of positive and negative communicators influenced by opinion leaders,the effects of the infectious power of opinion leaders on the propagation of public opinion are explored.Experiments show that the S3IR model is feasible and effective,the greater the number of positive or negative opinion leaders,the stronger the infectious force,the greater the degree of social network agglomeration,the more likely to lead to an increase in the number of communicators with the same viewpoints,and accelerate the dissemination of public opinion.

       

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